markets livea probability exchange
Trade the
probability,
not the bet.
A play-money exchange for real events. Every share pays $1 if it happens, $0 if it doesn't, so its price isthe market's odds.
LMSR
always-on pricing
95
live markets
$1,000
play money to start
Continue with Google
One tap. We create your account, hand you $1,000 in play money, and remember your balance.
LIVE ODDS updating
Will England win the 2026 World Cup?
sportsvol $964.68
82%
No
32.5%
Will the Fed cut rates at its June meeting?
financevol $1,258.85
65%
No
14.9%
Will an English artist have 2026's song of the summer?
culturevol $340.47
58%
No
8.0%
Will a UK general election be called in 2026?
politicsvol $501.08
73%
No
23.2%